Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Weston/Myers Illinois Tele-Poll, Tuesday, December 8th, 2009

Weston/Myers Illinois Tele-Poll
Conducted Tuesday, December 8th, 2009


5,000 calls made to random registered voters statewide.


We asked: "Who will you vote for in the 2010 Illinois General Election?", and provided our list of candidates that we sourced from Wikipedia.org, uselections.com, and Google.


Poll: Illinois Governor, 2010


Generic Democrat: 40%

Generic Republican: 32%

Lex Green- Libertarian 6%

Randall Stufflebeam- Constitution 2%

Michael White- Independent 2%

Rich Whitney- Green 10%

Other/Undecided: 8%


Poll: Illinois Lieutenant Governor, 2010


Generic Democrat: 40%

Generic Republican: 36%

Ed Rutledge- Libertarian 8%

Generic Constitution: 1%

Generic Independent: 2%

Don Crawford- Green 12%

Other/Undecided: 1%


We then asked, "Why did you choose this candidate?"
The most common response given was that they "always voted this way". The second most common response was that "I like their ideas". Of the 5,000 registered voters, approximately 2000 were registered Democrats, 2000 were registered Republicans, and 1000 were either Independent or non-affiliated. Of the 2000 in each major party surveyed, 500 were age 18-25, 500 were age 26-35, 500 were age 36-50, and 500 were over 50. Of each group of 500, we evenly surveyed 250 women and 250 men. Based on the tabulations, the Democrats in Illinois seem to be heading back to the Democrat camp and have moved away from the Libertarian Party, with the exception of some Democrats who have now aligned with the Greens. There has indeed been a recent shake-up in the Illinois Libertarian Party, as documented in other blogs, as they had initially ran two left-libertarian candidates and have now nominated two right-libertarian candidates. This seems to be a problem for the Libertarians, who were drawing traditional Democrats into their party. They seem to have lost those voters in our survey due to their shift right, and in our poll, the LP only gained approximately 1% of previously committed Republicans. Good news for the Green Party, who seemed to have picked up a decent percentage of those Democratic or Independent voters. The best news is for Democrats, having picked up enough Independent and Undecided voters to surpass the Republicans, and of course, this means bad news for Republicans, with Illinois being a traditionally Democratic state, the lead may be difficult to overcome.

Paul Weston is an Independent AP-Affiliated Journalist from Normal, Illinois
Steven Myers is a Political Consultant from Evanston, Illinois

Weston and Myers are both politically Independent.

Contact us at: weston.myers@live.com

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